Tariffs

Deal's trucking exposure could raise credit challenges as tariffs increase.

President Donald Trump will sign an executive order on Thursday imposing new tariff rates on trading partners that take effect Friday, the White House said. 

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his regular press conference Wednesday that the process of determining tariff-related price increases was always going to be slow, but it has taken longer than he expected.

Portfolio managers are selling default protection at an increasing pace, a signal they see little risk on the horizon. Their position on the main investment-grade U.S. credit-default swap index now amounts to over $105 billion, the most in at least three years, based on data compiled by Barclays Plc and Bloomberg. It's a similar picture in Europe.

The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation moved further from its 2% target, underscoring the central bank's reluctance to cut rates.

Consumer spending and exports fell slightly in the latest estimate, leading to a downward revision. Imports, which dragged down overall output during the first three months of the year, also came in smaller.

Fiscal uncertainty in the US and the fact that Treasury yields aren't high enough to reflect the risk of holding them is making the securities less attractive.

Investors have grown more wary of lending to the US government for such a long time, and have demanded higher yields as a result, increasing a cushion known as the term premium.

The government measure of inflation for May ticked up modestly, adding to the signals that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to move on interest rates when it meets next month.

The U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs, a healthy clip that counters the president's calls for a rate cut to bolster the labor market.

The Treasury market experienced unexpected volatility in April after President Trump announced sweeping tariffs, but recovered after the moves were delayed. Some see that as proof of resilience in the market, but others say it highlights vulnerabilities.

Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said changes to the Federal Open Market Committee's quarterly economic projections could lead to clearer communication with markets and market participants.

The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation moved closer to the 2% target last month, but the impact of tariffs remains to be seen.

The strategy, which focuses on non-bank lending to sectors such as residential mortgages, credit cards and auto loans, has been a key plank of the bond giant's push into private lending.

Tariff uncertainty could boost lender leverage to incorporate protection against LME proliferation

Early signs are emerging that Trump-induced dollar volatility, inflated Treasury yields and fears about the country's debt burden are fueling a gradual reweighting toward the Old Continent.

The nation's largest bank is optimistic about its overall performance this year, but CEO Jamie Dimon still thinks there's a bigger chance of stagflation than markets are anticipating.

The president said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick "will be sending letters out essentially telling people" what "they'll be paying to do business in the United States."

Industry diversification and strong borrower financials bode well for CLO prospects in uncertain times.

Federal Reserve Gov. Adriana Kugler said in a speech in Dublin that trade barriers could soon affect prices and slow down growth while increasing uncertainty in 2025.