Corporate finance

Loan issuers in the hotel/leisure, oil and gas, retail and business equipment/services industries – which make up nearly a quarter of the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index – are expected to lead the default tally over the next 12 months, according to a report from S&P.

Defaults have been milder than expected thanks to government relief and stricter underwriting. But with the crisis dragging on and policymakers unable to agree on a stimulus plan, loans to highly indebted companies remain at risk.

Credit portfolio manager’s outlook on corporate borrower defaults and spreads on their loans, while still gloomy, has improved somewhat as the pandemic continues.

Money managers bargained away legal rights in exchange for higher returns in an ultra-low interest rate environment. Now they find themselves with precious little protection for their investments just as the pandemic is causing a wave of corporate bankruptcies across the country.

Credit research analysts cite a "significant" drop in defaults since the 2Q and improving macroeconomic indicators.

After a boom in corporate distress when economies shut down to deal with the pandemic, 2020 had been expected to be the biggest bankruptcy year ever. The pace of bankruptcies was widely expected to pick up after last month, which was slower than May-July, but still the worst August on record.

The prospective payout is so alluring to investors that they’ve placed three times as many orders as bonds and loans available for sale. That allowed Delta to boost the size of the deal from an original $6.5 billion, enough for the company to rule out the need for any federal aid.

This year has already seen a glut of corporate failures: there were 177 U.S. bankruptcy filings year-to-date by companies with over $50 million in liabilities, according to data compiled by Bloomberg

There’s been a flurry of interest in so-called fallen angels recently as investors seek alternatives to the ultra-low yields on high-grade debt.

he report concluded that the industry should fare well compared with its peers, but that loans to mid-sized European companies remained vulnerable to fall-out from Covid-19.