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Portfolio managers are selling default protection at an increasing pace, a signal they see little risk on the horizon. Their position on the main investment-grade U.S. credit-default swap index now amounts to over $105 billion, the most in at least three years, based on data compiled by Barclays Plc and Bloomberg. It's a similar picture in Europe.
July 9 -
The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation moved further from its 2% target, underscoring the central bank's reluctance to cut rates.
June 27 -
Consumer spending and exports fell slightly in the latest estimate, leading to a downward revision. Imports, which dragged down overall output during the first three months of the year, also came in smaller.
June 26 -
Fiscal uncertainty in the US and the fact that Treasury yields aren't high enough to reflect the risk of holding them is making the securities less attractive.
June 19 -
Investors have grown more wary of lending to the US government for such a long time, and have demanded higher yields as a result, increasing a cushion known as the term premium.
June 12 -
The government measure of inflation for May ticked up modestly, adding to the signals that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to move on interest rates when it meets next month.
June 11 -
The U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs, a healthy clip that counters the president's calls for a rate cut to bolster the labor market.
June 6 -
The Treasury market experienced unexpected volatility in April after President Trump announced sweeping tariffs, but recovered after the moves were delayed. Some see that as proof of resilience in the market, but others say it highlights vulnerabilities.
June 4 -
Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said changes to the Federal Open Market Committee's quarterly economic projections could lead to clearer communication with markets and market participants.
June 2 -
The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation moved closer to the 2% target last month, but the impact of tariffs remains to be seen.
May 30