Distressed

The decline in late payments recorded in a trade group survey raise hope that many servicers will bear up under a wave of tighter enforcement coming from regulators.

Following the federal moratorium’s end, the number jumped, marking the highest quarterly growth on record, according to Attom Data Solutions.

Although over 1.5 million forborne borrowers remain, a fifth could exit their plan in the next week, according to Black Knight.

The end of many COVID relief plans in September have the industry holding its breath, with outcomes potentially foreshadowing the months to come.

The overall pace of both entries and exits slowed, even as the private-label securities and portfolio loan segment saw a spike in its numbers.

Late payments on office loans have trended upward recently, but longer lease periods may mitigate the potential for distress in that sector, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.

The number of people exiting pandemic-related payment suspensions starting in September will be daunting to process, according to a Black Knight report published Monday.

Concerns about foreclosure and a crowded market led to an increase in listings at lower price points in the second quarter.

The relatively low share of borrowers who were distressed in June adds to signs that the offramp from government relief measures may not lead to an overwhelming wave of foreclosures.

The meager increase suggests the largest boost in inventory possible would likely still leave the backlog of homes on the market at historic lows.

The return of more normalized numbers for two key players in the home loan market could be the lead-up to a wave that’s been anticipated since the coronavirus arrived.

Those handling loan modifications anticipate a growing secondary market for loans in forbearance as they budget cautiously for additional alterations of regulations down the road.

The change makes it easier for borrowers exiting forbearance to get access to home retention options that might otherwise be out of reach due to skyrocketing home prices.

Fewer borrowers are suspending payments for pandemic hardships but some who got back on track are having trouble again, and deadlines could spur a final round of new requests.

Growing CRE mortgage volumes raised the bar for the coming year despite lingering concerns, according to the CRE Finance Council.

So far companies plan on using roughly the same number of employees as they shift from handling payment suspensions to assessing borrowers who have seen long-term declines in their incomes.

Experts expect only a small uptick in distressed mortgages, either through default or inability to refinance, which will create some opportunity for debt buyers

Meanwhile, National MI has been increasing its new insurance written by slightly widening its credit standards.

But March's overall late payment rate was 1.3 percentage points higher than one year ago, while the 90-day-plus rate was 2.3 percentage points higher.

The four-week high in forbearance exits also helped drive the considerable drop in plans, according to Black Knight.