Treasurys

The evidence of the Fed’s loss of control has multiplied uncomfortably in recent weeks. For its sake and that of both the domestic and global economy, the central bank desperately needs to regain control of the inflation narrative.

It all threatens to add a fresh twist for Treasury investors, who are already grappling with haywire moves and near double-digit losses with few precedents in the modern trading era.

A consensus has formed that the Federal Reserve waited too long to start tightening money. Fed watchers are still disagreeing about another question: Is the central bank tightening too much and too fast now?

US Treasuries extended losses and stock futures remained down as investors considered how a better-than-expected US jobs report might impact the pace of Federal Reserve policy tightening.

Investors are on edge over whether the US central bank’s tighter policies will induce a recession. A chorus of Fed officials has fallen behind calls to keep hiking to counter price pressures.

Concerns that central-bank rate hikes may induce a recession are keeping investors guessing about the outlook for the economy as rising food and energy costs squeeze consumers, and volatility has picked up.

Yields have jumped so much this year, roughly doubling those on 10-year Treasuries, that it recalls past buying opportunities that paid off when the tide turned.

The yield jumped as much as three basis points to 3.11%, extending an advance that has seen the rate more than double this year.

Japanese institutional managers -- known for their legendary U.S. debt buying sprees in recent decades -- are now fueling the great bond selloff just as the Federal Reserve pares its $9 trillion balance sheet.

The moves come after Powell struck a hawkish tone on Monday, prompting traders to rapidly ratchet up estimates for how aggressively the Fed will tighten monetary policy this year.

The repricing comes as Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman suggested a hike of that magnitude could be on the table if inflation readings come in too high.

Treasuries led losses in global bond markets as inflation concerns, stoked by soaring oil prices, overshadowed any haven bids on the back of Russia-related tensions.

With minimal coupon protection, exceedingly long duration and super-tight credit spreads, the powder keg was fully loaded. Now we have sizzling inflation and hawkish central bankers providing us with the spark.

Government bonds worldwide are extending declines after the worst six months in five years, a Bloomberg index showed. Meanwhile, the pool of negative-yielding debt shrank to a six-year low.

Pension funding versus liabilities was close to 100% at the end of 2021, for the first time since the financial crisis, according to investment advisory firm Milliman.

U.S. Treasuries gained, bouncing back from an initial wave of selling after consumer-price inflation accelerated at the fastest annual pace in four decades in December.

The bond selloff that pushed 10-year Treasury yields to their highest in two years may not lead to a full-on taper tantrum, according to one of the biggest Treasury options market makers.

The rapid wage growth underscored the case for a more aggressive tightening by the Fed and capped a punishing week in the bond market.

The municipal market has a history of outperforming during periods when the Fed hikes rates, because as yields rise, the tax-free interest that munis pay makes them more attractive.

The selloff worsened after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting showed officials considering earlier and faster interest-rate increases than expected.