The survey, taken before Pres. Trump's $200 billion MBS buy demand, finds panelists worried over inflation, but also see employment as the larger downside risk.

The dollar, Treasuries and US equities futures slid after Chair Jerome Powell said the threat of a US criminal indictment was a consequence of a disagreement over monetary policy.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said on CNBC that both sides of the central bank's dual mandate show signs of imbalance, with the labor market appearing more vulnerable.

Yield declines were biggest for short maturities, and the 30-year increased slightly, amid expectations at year-end that the Fed was likely to cut rates further in 2026.

The Federal Reserve is slated to undertake a number of important rules and regulations in 2026, but decisions around agency leadership and the Trump administration's avowed effort to exert greater control over the central bank are likely to leave a lasting legacy at the agency.

Holders willing to lend the note were able to do so at negative interest rates, with borrowers of the issue agreeing to sell it back the next day for less than they paid.

Federal Reserve Gov. Stephen Miran said higher goods prices could be the trade-off for bolstering national security and addressing geo-economic risks.

Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Schmid and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said in statements Friday that their dissents from this week's interest rate decision were spurred by inflation concerns and a lack of sufficient economic data.

Yields on US 10-year debt were little changed at 4.14%. Two-year peers were also steady after tumbling the most in two months as the Fed lowered interest rates.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at a press conference after the December FOMC meeting, said the central bank is holding interest rates steady until it gets more clarity on the economy.

A dayslong slump in US government bonds has curbed risk appetite as traders grow cautious about the pace of monetary easing beyond Wednesday's meeting.

Aside from employment numbers that are still fluctuating, year-over-year inflation rates could remain persistent, sending Fed base rates north of 3%.

Federal Reserve watchers expect a board of governors vote in February to reappoint the 12 regional Fed bank presidents — which is typically treated as a formality — to be the next flashpoint in the White House's effort to bring the central bank to heel.

The wagers reflect the potential for monetary policy easing to gather pace after chair Jerome Powell's term ends in May.

Baby Boomers' annuities purchases continue to fuel banks' lending to collateralized loan obligations, asset-backed securities and special purpose entities.

Heading into the Thanksgiving holiday-shortened week, the benchmark Bloomberg Treasuries index is on track for a small gain in November after rising in eight of the prior 10 months.

The jobs numbers for September — significantly delayed due to the government shutdown — showed employers added 119,000 jobs in the month, compared to a median economist estimate of 51,000.

Trump-era officials have looked at softening several bank capital measures established in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, including the so-called enhanced supplementary leverage ratio.

Fed Gov. Stephan Miran has spent his short tenure at the central bank arguing that disinflation in housing and immigration reforms will tamp down inflation in the near term. But other economists say the timing, degree and context of those effects is very much in question.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic won't seek reappointment following the end of his current term on Feb. 28, 2026.