Fixed income

Interest-rate swaps showed traders now see a roughly 70% chance of a quarter-point rate cut by September. Fewer than two rate cuts are fully priced in for the year.

The Treasury market experienced unexpected volatility in April after President Trump announced sweeping tariffs, but recovered after the moves were delayed. Some see that as proof of resilience in the market, but others say it highlights vulnerabilities.

This might deeply disappoint Wall Street investors who've been counting on a windfall if Fannie and Freddie are set free.

The whole business securitization will issue notes through four classes of A, B and C notes, and uses a master trust structure, so it can issue additional classes.

Wary of America's swelling federal budget gap and debt burden, the money manager is part of a wave of investment firms steering away from the longest-dated U.S. government bonds.

The US 10-year term premium — or the extra return investors demand to own longer-term debt instead of a series of shorter ones — has climbed to near 1%, a level last seen in 2014.

Bond yields are shooting up for the second time in as many months. Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller attributes the volatility to concerns about rising national debt levels.

Early signs are emerging that Trump-induced dollar volatility, inflated Treasury yields and fears about the country's debt burden are fueling a gradual reweighting toward the Old Continent.

The alternative-asset manager also sees the risk of a "structurally" weaker dollar as President Donald Trump seeks to reshape global trade. The dollar is about 15% overvalued.

Moody's announced Friday evening it was downgrading the US to Aa1 from Aaa, reinforcing Wall Street's growing worries over the nation's fiscal outlook as Capitol Hill debates even more unfunded tax cuts.

Tariff impact on distressed companies could fuel LME increase

Guardian's contribution includes up to $400 million of seed capital that Janus Henderson will invest in securitized credit and active fixed-income product innovation.

The deal can be upsized to $2 billion, and the transaction will repay principal sequentially, growing non-declining enhancement as the notes amortize.

Focus is now on Tuesday's inflation data for any signs of a pickup in price pressures. The report will be the first to show tariff-related costs.

Industry diversification and strong borrower financials bode well for CLO prospects in uncertain times.

Powell said as policymakers look for more clarity on tariff policies, the risks of higher inflation and unemployment have increased due to President Donald Trump's sweeping levies.

The declines on Thursday pushed two- to 10-year yields higher by at least 10 basis points on the day after President Donald Trump urged people to buy stocks based on the latest trade developments.

With the central bank expected to keep its benchmark rate steady at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday, traders will be scrutinizing comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

The pace of hiring drove traders to dial back rate-cut bets that had steadily mounted as Trump's trade war unleashed havoc in financial markets and sowed fears of a US recession.

The selling comes after overseas investors made record purchases of US corporate debt in 2024. Official data shows the demand slowing in February.