Mortgage rates

Employment came in below estimates, which some economists expect could move the bond market in ways that affect loan costs even before the Fed meets next.

The 30-year fixed rate stayed within a narrow range throughout most of July, with forecasts likely to leave the housing market "stuck," said one economist.

Fannie Mae also foresees more home sales than it did in June, but the Mortgage Bankers Association reduced its origination projections for 2025.

For the second consecutive week mortgage rates moved higher, as the likelihood of the Federal Reserve acting diminished after the Consumer Price Index report.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose for the first time in six weeks, driven by Friday's strong jobs report and renewed uncertainty around tariffs.

Growth in conventional originations at U.S. banks came with the unexpectedly rapid rise of 30-year fixed interest rates in 2022, Federal Reserve researchers found.

Refinance apps made up more than 40% of all mortgage applications last week, driving an uptick as consumers seek out cheaper mortgage payments.

Fannie Mae's June housing outlook was down from a month ago, reflecting expectations of a further slowing housing market.

None of the economists surveyed by Wolters Kluwer predict the Fed will cut rates at this week's meeting, few expect one in July and 41% said after September.

While lenders have come out with more products for the spring season, rate lock data finds buyers still hesitant to act because of high mortgage rates.