The average FICO for the pool of lease obligors is at a peak level for GM Financial's shelf, but Fitch expects higher losses on resale values on a pool more heavily dependent on longer-term leases and luxury models.
For the first time, the collateral includes lease contracts from its standalone Genesis luxury sedan line; two models, the G80 (base price $41,000) and G90 (base price $68,000) account for 4% of the total pool balance.
Moody's thinks that the risk of early lease terminations is "marginal," since only 0.5% of the vehicles in the collateral pool are old enough to be impacted by bans in place in several European cities.
Credit support on the senior tranche of the $800 million transaction is 19.25%, up 250 basis points on the comparable tranche of the sponsor's previous deal to offset the impact of falling used car prices.
Nearly 52% of the pool in the captive-finance company's first 2018 vehicle-lease securitization involves contracts for popular crossover models like the Chevrolet Equinox, the GMC Acadia and Cadillac XT5.
The Detroit company recorded an 11% increase in car loans and leases originated during the fourth quarter, as well as a jump in yields. Ally appears to be benefiting from Wells Fargo's substantial retrenchment in auto lending.