Rates won't fall far enough to drive meaningful mortgage volume gains this year, according to a Fitch Ratings analyst.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week suggested the central bank is getting close to the confidence it needs to start lowering interest rates.

The rule updates requirements for how systemically important clearing networks prepare for and respond to operational risks.

In credit, a risk-taking ebullience has taken hold. The lowest-rated traded company debt is outgunning safer assets.

Policymakers need more evidence that inflation is heading sustainably to the central bank's 2% goal before acting, he said.

During a contentious exchange on his second day of congressional testimony this week, the Federal Reserve chair drew a line between the central bank's response to last year's bank failures and its current capital proposal.

Jefferson voiced cautious optimism that inflation is headed lower despite a blip in January and said the Fed is likely to begin cutting interest rates later this year.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said Friday that Fed supervisors continue to draw on lessons learned from last March's bank failures—including heightened scrutiny—addressing risks banks currently face including firm asset growth, liquidity pressures and plummeting commercial real estate values.

The risk that inflation could remain stuck above their 2% target is guiding Fed officials' preference to keep interest rates where they are for now, even as investors have clamored for cuts.

She cited the increase in interest rates, higher vacancy rates thanks to shifting work patterns triggered by the pandemic and a wave of commercial real estate loans coming due this year.

Yields across the maturity spectrum climbed as much as 10 basis points on the day, reaching session highs after the ISM gauge of service-sector activity for January exceeded economist estimates.

A key Senator had urged Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to lower rates early this year, but although there's more consensus on making such a move, it now looks unlikely to happen until after the next meeting.

Yields moved in tandem — rising sharply in the immediate aftermath of the employment data before going on to swoon as investors used the rise in yields to snap up Treasuries.

Alberto Musalem, a finance professor with experience in both the public and private sectors, will take over the reins at the regional reserve bank in April.

That said, officials "reaffirmed that it would be appropriate for policy to remain at a restrictive stance for some time until inflation was clearly moving down sustainably."

Bostic said he expects the US central bank will cut rates twice in 2024 — in the second half of the year — as inflation continues to slowly decline.

The Federal Reserve has allowed more than $1 trillion of assets to roll off its balance sheet. Chair Jerome Powell says he doesn't believe reserves in the banking system are nearing a level that would cause the Fed to slow down or stop.

Benchmark two-year yields, those most closely tied to the outlook for US central-bank policy, rose as much as 14 basis points, the most in a day since June.

Investors are pricing in more than a 50% chance the Fed will lower borrowing costs in March, and expect the central bank's benchmark rate will fall to around 4% by the end of 2024.

Yields dropped across the US curve after data showed job openings fell to the lowest level since March 2021. Concerns about investors being too fast in anticipating policy easing have resurfaced.