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Mortgage Application Activity Drops 16.5% as Refis Plunge

Higher mortgage rates and the Thanksgiving holiday contributed to further slowing in refinancing activity for the week ending Nov. 26. 

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the Refinance Index plunged a seasonally adjusted 21.6% to ~2973. This was the third straight weekly decline and places the index at its lowest level since early June. As a percent of total applications, refinancing share fell to 74.9% from 78.6% — also at its lowest level since June. 

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed rate mortgages bumped up six basis points to 4.56% with points increasing as well for 80% LTV loans.

For the month of November, the Refinance Index was down 18% on average from October's average as 30-year mortgage rates increased to a 4.30% average from 4.23%.

At this time, December prepayments (reported in January) are expected to increase around 5% with one additional collection day factoring in, while a decline in refinancing activity in response to higher mortgage rates will partially offsett this.

Speeds are projected to decline around 10% in January.

Meanwhile, the Purchase Index rose 1.1% to ~207 as home buyers take advantage of record affordability levels. The index remains at its highest level since early May, following the expiration of the homebuyers' tax credit.

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