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Lower delinquencies buoy weaker metrics in Santander's next $1.1B pool

Santander Consumer USA is sponsoring its next subprime auto-loan securitization with slightly lower levels of credit enhancement than its prior deal, despite a collateral pool with a weaker FICO profile and lighter seasoning.

The $1.1 billion Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust (SDART) 2019-2 will pool 57,224 contracts from borrowers with a weighted average FICO of 600, down from 615 from the $942 million SDART 2019-1 deal issued in February.

The weighted average seasoning is only two months – the lowest of any SDART deal since 2015 – and the amount of extended term loans over 60 months remains “elevated” at 93.4%, according to Fitch.

But CE levels of the notes is 52.2%, a slight dip from the 52.75% level of the 2019-1 transaction, according to a presale report from Fitch Ratings. Fitch estimates forward-looking losses unchanged at 17% from its projection for the prior SDART transaction.

Fitch notes that 30-plus day delinquencies are shrinking, which Santander USA’s first-quarter financial reports show were down to 12.6% from 17% in the first three months of 2018. Cumulative net losses for all outstanding SDART transactions are extrapolating to 12%-15%, according to Fitch.

Santander sign outside a branch.
Signage is seen during an event to rebrand Sovereign Bank NA to Santander at the company's first bank branch in New York, U.S., on Thursday, Oct. 17, 2013. Sovereign Bank, four years after it was bought by Banco Santander SA, will begin changing its name at 32 branches throughout Connecticut and another 673 throughout the Northeast as the rebranding campaign is launched. Photographer: Ron Antonelli/Bloomberg
Ron Antonelli/Bloomberg

Fitch says the pool collateral is “general consistent” quality-wise with Santander’s securitizations from 2017-2018, with a WA loan-to-value ratio of 106.7% and a weighted average APR of 15.5%.

A portion of the collateral was though Santander’s captive-finance origination channel (Chrysler Capital) for FCA USA/Fiat Chrysler. Dodge-branded vehicles make up 20.9% of the pool collateral and Jeeps 13.99%, with light-duty trucks taking of 60.4% of the pool. “The jump in light trucks in (SDART) 2019-2 and 2019-1 is a notable shift driven by recent Chrysler-brand sales patterns,” Fitch’s report noted.

Fitch and Moody’s Investors Service have issued initial triple-A ratings for two tranches of Class A notes. The $260 billion in Class A-2 notes due July 2022 will be divided between fixed- and floating-rate bonds while the Class A-3 notes totaling $143.8 million are due May 2023.

A $165.3 million Class A-1 money-market tranche has an early F1+ rating from Fitch and P-1 from Moody’s.

Four subordinate note classes include the $128.3 million in Class B notes (rated AA by Fitch, Aa1 by Moody’s), the $160.9 million in Class C notes (rated A/Aa2), the $144.6 million in Class D notes (BBB/Baa1) and $99.1 million in Class E notes (BB by Fitch; Moody’s did not publish ratings for the E notes).

In an earnings release on April 30, Santander USA reported retail auto loan originations grew 14% in the first quarter year-over-year at $2.62 billion up from $2.29 billion. (Those loans exclude originations through its partnership with Fiat Chrysler, which totaled $2.44 billion in the quarter). The growth in originations was the fifth consecutive quarter of lending growth for Santander USA.

The new transactions adds to $2.9 billion in loan ABS transactions sponsored by the lender this year.

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Auto ABS Subprime lending
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