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ABS

Weekly Wrap: Will ABS factor into a merged AerCap-GECAS?

The $30 billion price tag that AerCap is paying for its announced acquisition of GECAS will combine the two largest passenger-jet leasing managers in the world.

It also marries two distinct strategies when it comes to securitization.

GECAS (GE Capital Aviation Services) has tapped asset-backed investors in recent years by issuing bonds paid by proceeds from leasing jet aircraft to airlines as well as from sales of planes from its managed portfolio made up mostly of older, narrowbody Boeing and Airbus models.

GECAS has sponsored three deals in 2018 and 2019 totaling $1.6 billion, and has issued pre-crisis transactions as well.

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Aercap, on the other hand, has focused primarily on utilizing unsecured debt financing, including $5 billion in high-yield bonds in 2020 and 2021 through its AerCap Global Aviation Trust. Deutsche Bank airline industry analyst Douglas Runte wrote in a research note this week that while Aercap has made use of lease-backed ABS deals in its history, “has not issued aircraft ABS in more than five years.”

If the deal receives necessary shareholder and regulatory approvals, Deutsche analysts expect the deal “will be financed long-term through a mix of predominately unsecured corporate debt, recourse secured corporate debt and hybrid securities.”

While ABS debt may not be part of the expected mix of funding to close the deal, Runte wrote Deutsche expects the newly combined firm “to make use of aircraft ABS as a way of managing portfolio, eliminating any exposure concentrations and sell older aircraft.”

Pagaya closes largest-ever MPL deal

Pagaya Investments this week closed on the largest-ever asset-backed transaction of unsecured consumer loans.

In a company release issued Tuesday, Pagaya announced the pricing of a fully pre-funded deal with $900 million in loans acquired from Upgrade, Marlette, Prosper, and LendingClub (each of which will remain servicers on the accounts).

Pagaya, which aggregates third-party loan collateral using a proprietary AI technology platform, closed its first privately placed securitization in 2019, and has closed nine additional deals, including publicly rated deals on its Pagaya AI Debt Selection Trust (PAID) shelf.

"This has been a year of hyper-growth at Pagaya, and we’re continuing on that trajectory. The pace is staggering,” said Gal Krubiner, Pagaya’s CEO and co-founder, in a statement.

Despite the fast growth in its unsecured consumer loan platform, Pagaya is also focused on expanding its investment tools and credit analysis models for point-of-sale loans, credit cards, and single-family rentals. Pagaya also recently announcing its expansion into auto credit investments.

Glen Fest
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Credit Suisse launches $650M conduit CMBS

Credit Suisse is structuring its first conduit commercial-mortgage securitization in over a year, pooling together loans with an above-average exposure of retail and lodging properties compared to recent multi-borrower transactions.

The $650.1 million CSAIL 2021-C20 sponsored by Credit Suisse Commercial Mortgage Securities Corp. includes 28 loans secured by 40 properties, headlined by The W.R. Grace Building office tower in midtown Manhattan as well as a participation in $3 billion loan issued in 2019 for the MGM Grand & Mandalay Bay casino resorts in Las Vegas.

The portfolio of loans also includes two previously modified loans, as well as a regional super-mall in New York – representing one of the riskiest sectors of CMBS loans in terms of loss severity, according to Moody’s Investors Service.

The transaction will spread across 17 classes of notes, of which the super-senior and senior classes have preliminary triple-A ratings from Moody’s and Kroll Bond Rating Agency

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Glen Fest

Spreads tighten as CLO rally nears post-crisis high

Collateralized loan obligations are rallying the most in three years as money managers rotate into floating-rate securities as Treasury yields creep higher.

Risk premiums for new bonds, which package and sell leveraged loans into tranches of varying risk and potential return, are the tightest they’ve been since 2018, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Moreover, they are poised to bust through a key post-crisis level not seen since February 2018.

The strong showing has prompted managers to bring new deals at favorable terms and refinance and reset existing bonds at cheaper costs, leading market observers to predict a record year for refinancings.

The spread tightening has been key in improving the so-called arbitrage -- the gap between the interest earned from the underlying leveraged loans and the cost of borrowing to purchase the assets. A healthier arbitrage enhances the economics of the transactions, which makes it easier to attract CLO equity capital to sponsor new deals.

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Bloomberg
Containers As Surging Shipping Rates Pose New Headwind for the Global Economy
Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

Shipping container shortage adds to trade turmoil

The world’s biggest makers of shipping containers are scrambling to meet a surge in demand for the metal boxes that shuttle some 90% of the goods around the global economy.

A trade boom in the second half of last year caught the container producers – mostly Chinese companies – by surprise as the pandemic threw the existing supply of about 25 million boxes off their normal routes. The manufacturers have been ramping up output ever since, but they’re unable to alleviate shortages that have underpinned soaring freight rates for six months.

The demand has been reflected in the asset-backed securities market, in which more than $10 billion in shipping container-lease securitizations have taken place since August 2020.

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Bloomberg and ASR
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