Mortgage rates

The 30-year average rate got closer to 7% as central bank officials dashed near-term hopes of a cut, according to Freddie Mac.

For the first time since mid-December, the Freddie Mac survey reports mortgage rates over 6.7%.

January volume increased 36% compared to the month before and the annual decline in activity was the lowest in almost two years, Optimal Blue said.

While the Freddie Mac survey reported just a 1 basis point increase from last week, Zillow's tracker found a 30 basis point rise in the 30-year fixed, more reflective of what happened in the bond market.

As a result, a robust housing market is now on the horizon, Freddie Mac chief economist Sam Khater declared.

A key Senator had urged Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to lower rates early this year, but although there's more consensus on making such a move, it now looks unlikely to happen until after the next meeting.

A potential buyer with a budget of $3,000 per month for their payments is now able to afford an approximately $453,000 home.

Its January forecast reverses the call first made in April 2022 that the U.S. economy would slip into an extended downturn.

For the past week, the benchmark 10-year Treasury closed above 4%, as the markets priced in an increase in the consumer price index.

December's shift in Federal Reserve policy gave a notable boost to the share of consumer respondents who think the affordability of home financing will improve.

The year-end yield on the bond, a global anchor for markets and U.S. mortgage rates, is the culmination of a stunning rebound for Treasuries.

The U.S. may be less rate-sensitive than other countries due to its long-term mortgages but could face tighter credit from hard-hit financial institutions.

But the decline may be close to its floor, as wide spreads compared to 10-year Treasury yields hinder how far averages could fall.

Values declined in two regions and were flat in two others, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index measures a period when 30-year mortgage rates were climbing toward 8%, shutting out increasing numbers of would-be homebuyers.

Rates that have been below 7% for two consecutive weeks have given originators a gift at what's typically a slow time of year, Freddie Mac said.

The enterprise is now calling for a recession to start in the second quarter of next year, with negative growth expected for the full year.

The Fed's announcement is responsible for a 19 basis point drop in the 10-year yield over a two-day period, pushing the 30-year fixed under 7% for the first time since August, Freddie Mac said.

Recent economic data pushed investors toward Treasurys over the past week, driving 10-year yields to as low as 4.1%.

Heightened government-backed activity also helped bring the average loan size down to its lowest mark in 2023, with purchase amounts falling below $400,000 for the first time since January, the Mortgage Bankers Association found.